free pick New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds 5-5-10

May 5, 2010

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The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will both be trying to pick up a win on Wednesday when they battle at Great American Ball Park.

The Mets will trot Jonathon Niese out to the mound in this one. Lefthander Niese has a 1-1 record and a 3.10 ERA this season.

Niese’s opponent in this one will be Johnny Cueto. The Reds righthander has a 5.33 ERA to go along with a 1-1 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.

Rod Barajas’ homer in the top of the ninth inning lifted the Mets over the Reds 5-4 on Tuesday night.

New York cashed as +115 road underdogs, while the game resulted in a PUSH on the 9-run total listed by sportsbooks.

Jose Reyes was 2-for-4 with a run batted in for the Mets, as Pedro Feliciano picked up the win in relief of John Maine for New York.

Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips both went 2-for-4 with a big fly for Cincinnati, while Francisco Cordero took the loss after allowing Barajas’ dinger in the top of the ninth.

Team records:
New York: 15-12 SU
Cincinnati: 13-14 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing San Francisco are 8-2
After playing Cincinnati are 5-5
After a win are 8-2

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Chi Cubs are 3-7
After playing NY Mets are 2-8
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
NY Mets are 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
NY Mets are 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games
Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Next up:
NY Mets home to San Francisco, Friday, May 7
Cincinnati home to Chi Cubs, Friday, May 7

Free Pick : Mets  +110


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