free pick Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals 7-30-10

July 30, 2010

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at Nationals Park.

The Phillies will give the ball to ace starter Roy Oswalt in this one. Righthander Oswalt is 6-12 this season with a 3.42 ERA.

Oswalt’s opponent in this one will be Craig Stammen. The Nationals righthander has a 5.50 ERA to go along with a 2-4 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 175-moneyline favorites versus the Nationals, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.

Wilson Valdez drove in the winning run in the 11th inning on Thursday, giving the Phillies a 3-2 win and a sweep of the three-game series over the Diamondbacks. The Phillies won that game as -175 favorites, while the five runs went UNDER the posted over/under (8) set by sportsbooks.

Raul Ibanez homered for the Phillies, and Jose Contreras pitched a scoreless 11th to earn the win.

Ian Desmond went 2-for-3 with a solo home run on Thursday, lifting the Nationals to a 5-3 victory over the Braves. The Nationals won that game as +129 underdogs, while the eight runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (8.5) set by sportsbooks.

Scott Olsen tossed six innings for the win, allowing five hits and three runs. Matt Capps pitched a scoreless ninth inning to earn his 26th save.

Current streak:
Philadelphia has won 8 straight games.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 56-46 SU
Washington: 44-58 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Washington are 10-0
After playing Arizona are 5-5
After a win are 8-2

Washington most recently:
When playing on Friday are 3-7
Before playing Philadelphia are 2-8
After playing Atlanta are 6-4
After a win are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Next up:
Washington home to Philadelphia, Saturday, July 31


FREE PICK: Phillies  -147


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