free pick Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles 7-21-10

July 21, 2010


The division rival Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles are set to renew hostilities on Wednesday when they meet at Camden Yards.

Ace righthander James Shields will take the mound for the Rays to start this game. Shields is 6-9 this season with a 4.90 ERA.

It’ll be Brad Bergesen toeing the rubber for the Orioles in this contest. Righthander Bergesen is 3-7 with a 6.54 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 230-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.

Julio Lugo’s run-scoring single in the bottom of the 13th inning lifted the Orioles past the Rays 11-10 on Tuesday night.

Baltimore cashed as +180 home underdogs, while the teams played OVER the 9-run total set by oddsmakers.

Miguel Tejada was 2-for-5 with four runs batted in for the Orioles, as Koji Uehara picked up the win in relief of Jake Arrieta for Baltimore.

Willy Aybar went 2-for-6 with three RBIs for Tampa Bay, while Lance Cormier was tagged with the loss after allowing Lugo’s single in the 13th.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 56-37 SU
Baltimore: 30-63 SU

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Cleveland are 5-5
After playing Baltimore are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Minnesota are 4-6
After playing Tampa Bay are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore’s last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Baltimore’s last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore’s last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Next up:
Tampa Bay at Cleveland, Friday, July 23
Baltimore home to Minnesota, Thursday, July 22

FREE PICK: Tampa Bay  -1.5  Runs -125

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