free picks New York Mets vs. Florida Marlins 6-30-10

June 30, 2010

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Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Wednesday when the New York Mets and the Florida Marlins meet at Hiram Bithorn Stadium.

Righthander Michael Pelfrey will take the mound for the Mets to start this game. Pelfrey is 10-2 this season with a 2.74 ERA.

Meanwhile, it’ll be Chris Volstad who starts for the Marlins. Righthander Volstad is 4-7 with a 4.40 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 115-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.

Dan Uggla’s RBI single in the bottom of the ninth inning lifted the Marlins past the Mets 7-6 in San Juan, Puerto Rico on Tuesday night.

Florida cashed as +105 home underdogs, while the teams played OVER the 10-run total set by oddsmakers.

Hanley Ramirez hit a grand slam for the Marlins, as Leo Nunez picked up the win in relief of Nate Robertson for Florida.

Ruben Tejada was 2-for-3 with a run batted in for New York, while Pedro Feliciano was handed the loss after allowing the winning run in the bottom of the ninth.

Current streak:
New York has lost 2 straight games.
Florida has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 43-34 SU
Florida: 37-40 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Washington are 2-8
After playing Florida are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3

Florida most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 8-2
Before playing Atlanta are 5-5
After playing NY Mets are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 7 games when playing Florida
NY Mets are 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets’s last 9 games on the road
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida’s last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida’s last 7 games when playing NY Mets

Next up:
NY Mets at Washington, Thursday, July 1
Florida at Atlanta, Friday, July 2

FREE PICK: Mets  -110


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