Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Picks

August 13, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the Houston Astros and the Chicago Cubs meet at Wrigley Field.
The Astros will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Armando Galarraga in this game. Galarraga has a 0-2 record and a 4.70 ERA this season.
The Cubs will counter Galarraga with Jeff Samardzija. Righthander Samardzija has a 4.21 ERA to go along with a 7-10 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Cubs listed as 205-moneyline favorites versus the Astros, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Houston lost its last outing, a 5-3 result against the Brewers on August 12. Bettors who backed the Brewers at -182 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (8) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Chicago lost its last outing, a 3-0 result against the Reds on August 12. Bettors who backed the Reds at -184 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Current streak:
Chicago has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Houston: 38-78 SU
Chicago: 44-69 SU

Houston most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Chi Cubs are 3-7
After playing Milwaukee are 3-7
After a loss are 3-7

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Houston are 4-6
After playing Cincinnati are 4-6
After a loss are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston’s last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Chi Cubs are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home

Next up:
Chi Cubs home to Houston, Tuesday, August 14


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