Miami Marlins vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Picks

June 21, 2012

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The fans at Fenway Park will be treated to a game between the Miami Marlins and the Boston Red Sox when they take their seats on Thursday.
The Marlins will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Carlos Zambrano in this game. Zambrano has a 4-5 record and a 3.92 ERA this season.
Zambrano’s opponent in this one will be Daisuke Matsuzaka. The Red Sox righthander has a 5.73 ERA to go along with a 0-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 10.
Miami lost its last outing, a 15-5 result against the Red Sox on June 20. Bettors who backed the Red Sox at -137 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (20) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Current streak:
Miami has lost 3 straight games.
Boston has won 4 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 33-35 SU
Boston: 35-33 SU

Miami most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Toronto are 8-2
After playing Boston are 1-9
After a loss are 2-8

Boston most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 5-5
After playing Miami are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games

Next up:
Miami home to Toronto, Friday, June 22
Boston home to Atlanta, Friday, June 22


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