Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Picks

April 7, 2012

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The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Great American Ball Park.
The Marlins will give the ball to starter Ricky Nolasco in this one. Righthander Nolasco is 0-0 this season with a 0.00 ERA.
The Reds will counter Nolasco with Mat Latos. Righthander Latos has a 0.00 ERA to go along with a 0-0 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Reds listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.
The Marlins were a 4-0 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Reds. That made winners of bettors who got Cincinnati at -128 on the moneyline, while the total score (4) was good news for UNDER bettors.
Current streak:
Miami has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 0-2 SU
Cincinnati: 1-0 SU

Miami most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Cincinnati are 3-7
After playing Cincinnati are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Miami are 6-4
After playing Miami are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami’s last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games
Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
Miami is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games
Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Miami, Sunday, April 8


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