Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free MLB Picks

September 21, 2012

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The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at Citi Field.
The Marlins will trot Jacob Turner out to the mound in this one. Righthander Turner has a 2-3 record and a 5.20 ERA this season.
Turner’s opponent in this one will be Jonathon Niese. The Mets lefthander has a 3.46 ERA to go along with a 11-9 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
Miami lost its last outing, a 3-0 result against the Braves on September 19. Bettors who backed the Braves at -138 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
The Mets were a 16-1 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Phillies. That made winners of bettors who got Philadelphia at -109 on the moneyline, while the total score (17) was good news for OVER bettors.
Current streak:
New York has lost 5 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 66-84 SU
New York: 66-83 SU

Miami most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing NY Mets are 4-6
After playing Atlanta are 2-8
After a loss are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing on Friday are 2-8
Before playing Miami are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 4-6
After a loss are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami’s last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 9 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Mets’s last 14 games at home
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets’s last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

Next up:
NY Mets home to Miami, Saturday, September 22


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