Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Free MLB Picks

April 24, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Tuesday when the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets meet at Citi Field.
The Marlins will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Josh Johnson in this game. Johnson has a 0-2 record and a 5.94 ERA this season.
The Mets will counter Johnson with Johan Santana. Lefthander Santana has a 3.97 ERA to go along with a 0-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 110-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game’s total is sitting at 7.
In their last action, Miami was a 3-2 loser on the road against the Nationals. Bettors on Washington at -147 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
New York lost its last outing, a 7-2 result against the Giants on April 23. Bettors who backed the Giants at -110 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (9) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Current streak:
Miami has lost 2 straight games.
New York has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 7-8 SU
New York: 8-8 SU

Miami most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing NY Mets are 6-4
After playing Washington are 6-4
After a loss are 5-5

New York most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Miami are 6-4
After playing San Francisco are 3-7
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami’s last 13 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami’s last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 6 games

Next up:
NY Mets home to Miami, Wednesday, April 25


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