Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks

September 12, 2012

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Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Wednesday when the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies meet at Citizens Bank Park.
The Marlins will give the ball to starter Josh Johnson in this one. Righthander Johnson is 8-11 this season with a 3.81 ERA.
The Phillies will counter Johnson with Cliff Lee. Lefthander Lee has a 3.50 ERA to go along with a 4-7 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 155-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7.
Last time out for Miami, they were a 9-7 loser as they battled the Phillies on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Phillies at -240 were rewarded, while the 16 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Current streak:
Miami has lost 2 straight games.
Philadelphia has won 6 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 63-80 SU
Philadelphia: 71-71 SU

Miami most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Cincinnati are 3-7
After playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Houston are 4-6
After playing Miami are 2-8
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Cincinnati, Friday, September 14
Philadelphia at Houston, Thursday, September 13


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