Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB Picks

May 4, 2012

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The fans at Safeco Field will be treated to a game between the Minnesota Twins and the Seattle Mariners when they take their seats on Friday.
Righthander Carl Pavano will take the mound for the Twins to start this game. Pavano is 1-2 this season with a 4.91 ERA.
The Mariners will counter Pavano with Jason Vargas. Lefthander Vargas has a 3.38 ERA to go along with a 3-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Mariners listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Twins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7.
Minnesota lost its last outing, a 9-0 result against the Angels on May 2. Bettors who backed the Angels at -250 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (9) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
The Mariners were a 4-3 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Rays. That made winners of bettors who got Tampa Bay at -163 on the moneyline, while the total score (7) was good news for UNDER bettors.
Current streak:
Minnesota has lost 3 straight games.
Seattle has lost 6 straight games.

Team records:
Minnesota: 6-18 SU
Seattle: 11-16 SU

Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Seattle are 3-7
After playing LA Angels are 2-8
After a loss are 3-7

Seattle most recently:
When playing on Friday are 2-8
Before playing Minnesota are 6-4
After playing Tampa Bay are 3-7
After a loss are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Seattle’s last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

Next up:
Seattle home to Minnesota, Saturday, May 5


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