Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB Picks

April 21, 2012

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The fans at Tropicana Field will be treated to a game between the Minnesota Twins and the Tampa Bay Rays when they take their seats on Saturday.
The Twins will trot Carl Pavano out to the mound in this one. Righthander Pavano has a 1-1 record and a 5.22 ERA this season.
It’ll be James Shields toeing the rubber for the Rays in this contest. Righthander Shields is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 180-moneyline favorites versus the Twins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
Last time out for Minnesota, they were a 5-4 winner as they battled the Rays on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Twins at +166 were rewarded, while the 9 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Team records:
Minnesota: 5-9 SU
Tampa Bay: 7-7 SU

Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing Tampa Bay are 4-6
After playing Tampa Bay are 4-6
After a win are 3-7

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Minnesota are 8-2
After playing Minnesota are 7-3
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay’s last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Minnesota, Sunday, April 22


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