New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Picks

May 12, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Saturday when the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet at Marlins Park.
The Mets will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander R.A. Dickey in this game. Dickey has a 4-1 record and a 3.76 ERA this season.
Dickey’s opponent in this one will be Ricky Nolasco. The Marlins righthander has a 2.72 ERA to go along with a 4-0 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
In their last action, New York was a 6-5 loser on the road against the Marlins. Bettors on Miami at -137 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (11) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.
Current streak:
Miami has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 18-14 SU
Miami: 17-15 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Miami are 7-3
After playing Miami are 7-3
After a loss are 4-6

Miami most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing NY Mets are 4-6
After playing NY Mets are 2-8
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Mets’s last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami’s last 11 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami’s last 19 games

Next up:
Miami home to NY Mets, Sunday, May 13


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