New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Picks

May 13, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Sunday when the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins meet at Marlins Park.
The Mets will give the ball to starter Jonathon Niese in this one. Lefthander Niese is 2-1 this season with a 4.01 ERA.
Starting this game for the Marlins will be Carlos Zambrano. The righthander has a 1.98 ERA to go along with a 1-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 140-moneyline favorites versus the Mets, while the game’s total is sitting at 7.
In their last action, New York was a 9-3 winner on the road against the Marlins. Bettors on New York at +130 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (12) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.
Team records:
New York: 19-14 SU
Miami: 17-16 SU

New York most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing Milwaukee are 5-5
After playing Miami are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

Miami most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing Pittsburgh are 6-4
After playing NY Mets are 1-9
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Mets’s last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami’s last 12 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Miami is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami’s last 20 games

Next up:
NY Mets home to Milwaukee, Monday, May 14
Miami home to Pittsburgh, Monday, May 14


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