Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Picks

July 1, 2012

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The division rival Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins are set to renew hostilities on Sunday when they meet at Marlins Park.
The Phillies will trot Joe Blanton out to the mound in this one. Righthander Blanton has a 7-5 record and a 4.81 ERA this season.
The Marlins will counter Blanton with Ricky Nolasco. Righthander Nolasco has a 4.78 ERA to go along with a 6-6 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Marlins listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Phillies, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.
Philadelphia lost its last outing, a 3-2 result against the Marlins on June 30. Bettors who backed the Marlins at +104 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Current streak:
Philadelphia has lost 4 straight games.
Miami has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 36-44 SU
Miami: 37-40 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing NY Mets are 3-7
After playing Miami are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

Miami most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing Milwaukee are 2-8
After playing Philadelphia are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Philadelphia’s last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 6 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
Philadelphia at NY Mets, Tuesday, July 3
Miami at Milwaukee, Monday, July 2


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