Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Picks

September 28, 2012

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The division rival Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins are set to renew hostilities on Friday when they meet at Marlins Park.
The Phillies will pin their hopes on the pitching of lefthander Cliff Lee in this game. Lee has a 6-8 record and a 3.18 ERA this season.
Meanwhile, it’ll be Mark Buehrle who starts for the Marlins. Lefthander Buehrle is 13-13 with a 3.84 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
Philadelphia lost its last outing, a 7-3 result against the Nationals on September 27. Bettors who backed the Nationals at -130 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (10) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Last time out for Miami, they were a 6-2 loser as they battled the Braves on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Braves at -195 were rewarded, while the 8 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Current streak:
Philadelphia has lost 2 straight games.
Miami has lost 7 straight games.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 78-78 SU
Miami: 66-90 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Miami are 6-4
After playing Washington are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4

Miami most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing Atlanta are 2-8
After a loss are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami’s last 10 games at home

Next up:
Miami home to Philadelphia, Saturday, September 29


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