Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Picks

September 30, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Sunday when the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet at Marlins Park.
Lefthander Cole Hamels will take the mound for the Phillies to start this game. Hamels is 16-6 this season with a 3.11 ERA.
Starting this game for the Marlins will be Nathan Eovaldi. The righthander has a 4.29 ERA to go along with a 4-12 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
Last time out for Philadelphia, they were a 9-5 winner as they battled the Marlins on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Phillies at -123 were rewarded, while the 14 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Team records:
Philadelphia: 79-79 SU
Miami: 67-91 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Washington are 6-4
After playing Miami are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

Miami most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing NY Mets are 2-8
After playing Philadelphia are 4-6
After a loss are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 games at home

Next up:
Philadelphia at Washington, Monday, October 1
Miami home to NY Mets, Monday, October 1


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