Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Picks

June 29, 2012

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The division rival Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins are set to renew hostilities on Friday when they meet at Marlins Park.
The Phillies will give the ball to starter Cliff Lee in this one. Lefthander Lee is 0-4 this season with a 3.72 ERA.
It’ll be Josh Johnson toeing the rubber for the Marlins in this contest. Righthander Johnson is 4-5 with a 3.96 ERA so far this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 110-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game’s total is sitting at 7.
Philadelphia lost its last outing, a 5-4 result against the Pirates on June 28. Bettors who backed the Pirates at -112 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (9) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
Last time out for Miami, they were a 5-3 winner as they battled the Cardinals at home. Moneyline bettors who got the Marlins at -133 were rewarded, while the 8 combined runs moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
Current streak:
Philadelphia has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Philadelphia: 36-42 SU
Miami: 35-40 SU

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
Before playing Miami are 6-4
After playing Pittsburgh are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

Miami most recently:
When playing on Friday are 3-7
Before playing Philadelphia are 4-6
After playing St. Louis are 2-8
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Philadelphia’s last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Philadelphia is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Next up:
Miami home to Philadelphia, Saturday, June 30


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