Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks

June 25, 2012

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The Philadelphia Phillies will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Monday when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park.
Righthander Jeff Karstens will take the mound for the Pirates to start this game. Karstens is 0-1 this season with a 4.50 ERA.
The Phillies will counter Karstens with Joe Blanton. Righthander Blanton has a 4.98 ERA to go along with a 6-5 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Pirates, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.
Pittsburgh lost its last outing, a 3-2 result against the Tigers on June 24. Bettors who backed the Tigers at -190 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (5) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
The Phillies were a 7-3 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Rays. That made winners of bettors who got Tampa Bay at +165 on the moneyline, while the total score (10) was good news for OVER bettors.
Current streak:
Philadelphia has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Pittsburgh: 38-33 SU
Philadelphia: 34-40 SU

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing Detroit are 4-6
After a loss are 6-4

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Pittsburgh are 4-6
After playing Tampa Bay are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

Next up:
Philadelphia home to Pittsburgh, Tuesday, June 26


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