San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Picks

May 11, 2012

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The Philadelphia Phillies will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Friday when they take on the San Diego Padres at Citizens Bank Park.
The Padres will give the ball to starter Clayton Richard in this one. Lefthander Richard is 1-4 this season with a 4.89 ERA.
Richard’s opponent in this one will be Vance Worley. The Phillies righthander has a 2.84 ERA to go along with a 2-2 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 170-moneyline favorites versus the Padres, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.
San Diego lost its last outing, a 6-2 result against the Rockies on May 9. Bettors who backed the Rockies at +106 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (8) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
Philadelphia was a 10-6 loser in its last match at home against the Mets. They lost as -183 favorites, while the total score of 16 made winners of OVER bettors.
Current streak:
Philadelphia has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
San Diego: 11-21 SU
Philadelphia: 14-18 SU

San Diego most recently:
When playing on Friday are 8-2
Before playing Philadelphia are 2-8
After playing Colorado are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
Before playing San Diego are 8-2
After playing NY Mets are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego’s last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Diego’s last 16 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing San Diego

Next up:
Philadelphia home to San Diego, Saturday, May 12


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