Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Picks

April 16, 2012

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Monday when the Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox meet at Fenway Park.
James Shields will be the starting pitcher for the Rays on this day. Righthander Shields is 1-0 this season with a 5.54 ERA.
Shields’s opponent in this one will be Daniel Bard. The Red Sox righthander has a 9.00 ERA to go along with a 0-1 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rays listed as 135-moneyline favorites versus the Red Sox, while the game’s total is sitting at 9½.
Last time out for Tampa Bay, they were a 6-4 loser as they battled the Red Sox on the road. Moneyline bettors who got the Red Sox at +103 were rewarded, while the 10 combined runs moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
Current streak:
Tampa Bay has lost 4 straight games.
Boston has won 3 straight games.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 4-5 SU
Boston: 4-5 SU

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Toronto are 7-3
After playing Boston are 6-4
After a loss are 3-7

Boston most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing Texas are 5-5
After playing Tampa Bay are 5-5
After a win are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Next up:
Tampa Bay at Toronto, Tuesday, April 17
Boston home to Texas, Tuesday, April 17


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