Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Picks

May 11, 2012

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The Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at Great American Ball Park.
The Nationals will pin their hopes on the pitching of lefthander Gio Gonzalez in this game. Gonzalez has a 3-1 record and a 1.72 ERA this season.
The Reds will counter Gonzalez with Mike Leake. Righthander Leake has a 5.96 ERA to go along with a 0-4 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Nationals listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game’s total is sitting at 7½.
The Nationals were a 4-2 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Pirates. That made winners of bettors who got Washington at -157 on the moneyline, while the total score (6) was good news for UNDER bettors.
In their last action, Cincinnati was a 2-1 winner on the road against the Brewers. Bettors on Cincinnati at +100 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
Team records:
Washington: 19-12 SU
Cincinnati: 16-14 SU

Washington most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing Cincinnati are 5-5
After playing Pittsburgh are 4-6
After a win are 7-3

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Washington are 5-5
After playing Milwaukee are 4-6
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington’s last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Washington, Saturday, May 12


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