Broncos vs Titans free pick

September 25, 2011

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The Denver Broncos and the Tennessee Titans will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at LP Field.

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 7-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game’s total is sitting at 42½.

Denver won its last outing, a 24-22 result against the Bengals on September 18. The Broncos failed to cover in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 46 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Tennessee won its last outing, a 26-13 result against the Ravens on September 18. The Titans covered in that game as a 5.5-point underdog, while the 39 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team records:
Denver: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
Tennessee: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Denver most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver’s last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee’s last 12 games at home
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Tennessee is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games

Next up:
Denver at Green Bay, Sunday, October 2
Tennessee at Cleveland, Sunday, October 2

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