Free NFL Pick: Miami at New York Jets 12-12-2010

December 12, 2010

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Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

Sunday December 12th, 2010 4:15 PM EST

Line: New York Jets -6

Overview:

The 9-3 Jets got dominated by 42 points on Monday Night Football, a beating many teams around the league wanted to see the Jets endure after their non stop chatter all season and off season long. The Jets don’t have time to feel sorry for themselves. They still have games against the Steelers and Bears after this week and should they make it to the playoffs, limping in is not the way they will want to enter.

The 6-6 Dolphins looked like they were on their way back up after knocking off the Raiders in a blowout win, but their loss to the Browns has them back at square one. It is hard to get a good feel over the Dolphins. They struggle to find their identity and appear to be lost at times. The last time they faced the Jets, they suffered a nine point loss. Can they redeem themselves now that the Jets are at their lowest point of the season.

Keys to the Game:

  • Mark Sanchez needs to complete shake off the Patriots’ game. He experienced his first 300 yard game and duplicated the feat only two weeks later. While he threw three picks last week, Sanchez has made great strides this season. He has limited turnovers throughout the year and should not retract to his old habits from his rookie season just because he had one bad outing .
  • Cameron Wake leads the NFL with 12 sacks this season. He might not be the most talked about pass rusher in the league, but he is the best this season. If I had to cast a ballot for Defensive Player of the Year, it could very well go to Wake. Although his team is 6-6, he is by far the most valuable part of his defense. This week, he will have his hands full by going up against D’Brickashaw Ferguson. The game against the Jets was one of three games where Wake was held with no sacks.
  • The Jets now officially have a running back tandem. Shonn Greene and Ladanian Tomlinson each should expect to get between ten and 15 carries. Both can be effective and while neither is likely to break for a huge game, the fresh legs and equal contributions made by each running back will aide the Jets in the long run.
  • The Dolphins can be a solid running team. They have a solid offensive line, a shaky quarterback situation, and two legitimate running backs. The Dolphins have trouble deciding what they want to be good at. Do they want to be a complete offense or do they want to be a running offense like they have been so successful at being over the years. The Jets have a corner back you might have heard of, so involving their star receiver is going to be difficult. The Jets are stout against the run, but they aren’t impenetrable.

Key Matchup:

Darrelle Revis Vs. Brandon Marshall

  • Without Revis in their last encounter, Marshall was able to catch the ball at will. He racked up 166 yards and a touchdown on Antonio Cromartie. With no Jim Leonhard, Revis is going to be needed to keep Marshall in check this time. Revis has a habit of completely shutting down receivers. The Dolphins don’t have any other receivers that frighten the Jets, so if Marshall gets shut down, they will have to go to the run game.
  • As odd as this may seem, the Dolphins will benefit if Marshall is bottled up. They need to keep running the ball with their quarterback position in limbo. Revis will likely hold Marshall to under 50 yards, so unless the Dolphins can get something going on the ground this could get out of hand.

Wrap Up:

The Jets had a wake up call last week. They aren’t invincible. This week, they have a real chance to get back on track. The Dolphins can be good at times, but they try to force their offense at times. I can’t see the Dolphins competing this time around. Chad Henne threw a pick on the goal line that sealed their fate in the last game, but it probably won’t come to that this time, especially in the Meadowlands.

Free NFL Pick: New York Jets -6


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