Free NFL Pick: New York Giants at Seattle 11-07-2010

November 5, 2010

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New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks

Sunday November 7th, 2010 4:05 PM EST

Line: New York -6 1/2

Overview:

The 5-2 Giants are on a four game win streak and coming off of a bye week. This is terrible news for the 4-3 Seahawks, who looked miserable against Oakland last week. The Seahawks have acquired a few key victories over good teams, but their losses to terrible teams have left betters feeling gun shy.

Keys to the Game:

  • A head injury spells no Matthew Hasselbeck. This means Charlie Whitehurst is coming into the game, which could be beneficial for the Seashawks. This gives Pete Carrol a real chance to evaluate Whitehurst and see exactly what he brings to the table. He has never thrown a pass in a regular season game, so running for his life against the Giants is going to be a nice way to ease him into the NFL. Whitehurst has a big arm, quick release, and prototypical size. He might be easy to fall in love with on the practice field, but we will see what he is made of when the bullets are live, as will Seattle.
  • The Giants are unparalleled up front defensively. Defensive linemen have accounted for 20.5 of the Giants 24 sacks this season. They can rush four and get a pass rush that is considered to be elite in the NFL. This gives the defense flexibility to do just about whatever they want. To make matters worse for the Seahsawks, their offensive line has been hit by the injury bug.
  • Seattle has been doing the o-line shuffle the entire season, starting four combinations amongst their offensive line this season and headed towards their fifth on Sunday. The most critical loss for Seattle is clearly at their left tackle spot, where Russel Okung suffered a high ankle sprain. While the Giants would in all likelihood handle Seattle’s front even when healthy, the injuries add insult to injury. Dump in a quarterback with no experience and you have the makings of a disaster.
  • Seattle is much better at stopping the run than the pass, so it will be up to Eli Manning to soften them up to make Ahmad Bradshaw most effective. In his last outing against Dallas, Eli Manning looked outstanding, despite throwing three picks in the game. Hakeem Nicks and Steve Smith are at the forefront of a great receiving corp. I see them as this year’s 2009 Minnesota Vikings. The Giants have made their presence felt through the air, which is part of the reason Ahmad Bradshaw has been so successful.
  • Seattle is solid against the run, especially at Qwest. The noise makes it a nightmare for offenses to operate in. Ahmad Bradshaw is having a stellar year, rushing for more than 125 yards in three of his last four games. Seattle has a group of linebackers, led by Lofa Tatupu, who specialize in dominating the run. The Giants are probably going to come out throwing and when they do, it will be impossible for the Seahawks to focus on Bradshaw. Teams have a hard enough time when they put eight in the box against Bradshaw. Seattle has an inexperienced secondary that cannot afford playing a man down.

Wrap Up:

Quite simply, the Giants are in my opinion the best team in the NFC. The Seahawks are injured beyond recognition on offense. A look at their starting lineup and you might think you are looking at the starters for the Toronto Argonauts. The Seahawks aren’t even going to make this one close without their o-line or Hasselbeck in the game. They will easily lose by seven. Qwest field is a tough place to play, but it will be hard to get behind a team who is bound to undergo some frustration early on.The Seahawks are likely to come away with a loss, the Cardinals could easily lose in Minnesota, and the Rams and 49ers are on a bye week. The Seahawks are in first place in the NFC West now, but they won’t have any breathing room after this week.

Free NFL Pick: New York -6 1/2


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