Free NFL Picks Indianapolis at Denver 9-26-10

September 26, 2010


Inianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos

Sunday September 26th, 2010

Line: Indianapolis -6

Peyton Manning destroyed the Giants last week. He let everyone know that the Colts losing in week one would not be a pattern The Colts and Broncos each come in at 1-1. The Colts lost to the Texans in week one and the Broncos lost to the Jags. With the Colts facing two tougher opponents than the Broncos have, it would be easy to rank them a notch above the Broncos.

Keys to the Game:

  • The Colts need to continue their balanced attack. Usually, if you are a defensive coordinator playing the Colts, you can bet it is going to be a pass 70% of the time. The Colts were impossible to stop last week as they switched up the game plan and started running right at the heart of the Giants defense. By capitalizing on the mismatches presented from the nickel and dime packages the Giants remained in, the Giants had to switch up their scheme. Bring in one or two extra defensive backs? Joseph Addai and Donald Brown can take advantage with the run. Don’t bring in one or two extra defensive backs? Get picked apart by Peyton Manning. The choice is yours, but both doors lead to a loss.
  • Knowshon Moreno being out puts all of the pressure on Kyle Orton. Kyle Orton has had a successful year, all things considered. With the departure of Brandon Marshall, Orton does not have a superstar talent to get the ball to anymore. With former first round selection and the teams leading rusher Moreno out, Orton will be forced to take on a more significant role. If you have Eddie Royal on your fantasy team, this could be great for you. If you were going to pick the Broncos in your survivor pool, you might want to save that for another day.
  • The Colts defensive line is going to obnoxious, for Orton to handle. Dwight Freeney alone can get pressure on the quarterback. The Colts are in a unique situation where they can drop everyone back into coverage except the four down lineman and still force a quick throw out of the quarterback. Eli Manning was on his back all night last week. With their running back out, Kyle Orton is going to be pressured for four quarters.

I feel like the Colts are playing the best football right now in the entire league. Denver is struggling to fit into Josh McDaniels scheme and he could find himself on the hot seat in a hurry. The Colts are where the Broncos want to be one day. I see them covering with ease.

Free NFL Pick: Colts -6

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