Indianapolis at Baltimore 11-22-09

November 22, 2009


The Colts made a huge comeback last week in their game against the Patriots to win, 35-34. Some may say that Patriots coach Bill Belichick made the wrong call going for it on fourth down when the Patriots were on their own 30. It doesn’t matter because they lost and second guessing isn’t productive. QB Peyton Manning threw 4 more TD passes to increase his total to 20, but also had 2 INTs, bringing his total to 7 for the season. The Colts now must travel to Baltimore to face a Ravens’ team that is in a free-fall.

After winning three straight games to start the season, Baltimore has won just twice in its last six. After posting 30 points against the Denver Broncos a couple of weeks ago, they scored just seven the following week against the Bengals. There is no real need to go into Monday night’s game because the Browns are just a bad all around team and they made it look like a scrimmage for this match up. Baltimore’s defense has been one of the main problems this year, holding opponents to under 14 points just three times. If they don’t find a way to stop and offense, or at least slow it down, it will be very hard for the Ravens to make the playoffs when Pittsburgh and Cincinnati are playing well.

The Ravens have held opponents to an average of 158.3 passing yards over their last three games, including a season-low 99 against the Browns. They’ve also given up only one touchdown pass in that span, winning twice following a three-game slide. To complement its defense, Baltimore could use some increased production from quarterback Joe Flacco, who struggled against Indianapolis as a rookie last season. He was 28 for 38 for 241 yards but threw three interceptions and no touchdowns. Flacco completed 13 of 18 passes for 155 yards Monday after going 18 for 32 for 195 yards in a 17-7 loss to the Bengals in Week 9. He has a 66.3 passer rating over those two games after averaging 264.1 yards with 12 TDs, five picks and a 95.6 rating in his first seven.

The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Baltimore. They are 5-1 to the UNDER in their last six games against the Ravens. Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last six games on the road. The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. They are 6-1 to the UNDER in their last seven home games. Baltimore is 0-4 ATS in its last four games after playing on Monday Night Football. Take the Colts.

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Free Pick Indianapolis -2

By Lawrence Tate Associate Editor

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