Kansas City at San Diego 11-29-09

November 29, 2009


The Chiefs pulled off a small miracle last week when they beat the Steelers in overtime, 27-24. QB Matt Cassel had a solid game, 15-of-30 for 248 and 2 TDs, but the most important stat is that he didn’t throw an INT. In his past three games Cassel has thrown four INTs, but in this one he just held onto the ball rather than throw it up for grabs – which could explain the five sacks. Now Kansas City travels to San Diego to face a Chargers team that has won five straight, including a torching of Denver last week, 32-3. QB Philip Rivers wasn’t overly impressive, 17-of-22 for 145 yards and one touchdown, but since QB Kyle Orton was nursing a bad ankle, the Chargers were able to take advantage. RBs LaDainian Tomlinson, 20 carries for 73 yards and 1 TD and Mike Tolbert, seven carries for 58 yards and 1 TD, were the real stars of the game. You might also have to throw in Nate Kaeding, who added four field goals.

With the win, the Chargers took over first place in the AFC West, but will need to keep this winning streak rolling along so Denver stays in its rearview mirror. If there was any thoughts of San Diego looking past its next two opponents (Kansas City and Cleveland), last weekend might have squashed those ideas since Kansas City beat Pittsburgh and Cleveland’s offense looked to have come alive after scoring 37 points on the road in a loss.

The Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. They are 4-1 to the UNDER in their last five road games against San Diego. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last six games. The Chargers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after 2 or more wins. They are 4-1 to the UNDER in their last five games at home against the Chiefs. San Diego is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 home games. I like the Chargers to win by 2 tds.

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