New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins 12-6-09

December 6, 2009

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The New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins will meet on the gridiron at Land Shark Stadium on Sunday in a battle of division rivals.

Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 4½-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game’s total is sitting at 45½.

Tom Brady was 21-of-36 for 237 yards with two interceptions for New England in its 38-17 loss to New Orleans in Week 12.

New Orleans covered as 1-point home favorites, while the teams played UNDER the 57-point total listed by oddsmakers.

The Dolphins lost to Buffalo 31-14 as a 3-point favorite in Week 12. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (38.5).

Chad Henne threw for 175 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions for Miami, while Ricky Williams rushed for 115 yards and a touchdown on 27 carries.

Team records:
New England: 7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS
Miami: 5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS

New England most recently:
When playing in December are 10-0
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3

Miami most recently:
When playing in December are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games on the road
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
New England is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
New England is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami’s last 8 games
Miami is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against New England
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England

Next up:
New England home to Carolina, Sunday, December 13
Miami at Jacksonville, Sunday, December 13

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