Packers vs Bears free pick

September 25, 2011

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If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Sunday when the Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears meet at Soldier Field.

Oddsmakers currently have the Packers listed as 4-point favorites versus the Bears, while the game’s total is sitting at 45½.

Last time out for Green Bay, they were a 30-23 winner as they battled the Panthers on the road. The Packers failed to cover in the match as a 10-point favorite, while 53 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

The Bears were a 30-13 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Saints. They failed to cover the 4.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (43) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Current streak:
Green Bay has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Green Bay: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
Chicago: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Green Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3

Chicago most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago’s last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago’s last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago’s last 6 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Green Bay home to Denver, Sunday, October 2
Chicago home to Carolina, Sunday, October 2

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