Patriots vs. Bills Free Pick

September 25, 2011

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Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills meet at Ralph Wilson Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 7-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game’s total is sitting at 54.

Last time out for New England, they were a 35-21 winner as they battled the Chargers at home. The Patriots covered in the match as a 6.5-point favorite, while 56 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.

The Bills were a 38-35 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Raiders. They failed to cover the 3.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (73) made winners of OVER bettors.

Current streak:
New England has won 2 straight games.
Buffalo has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
New England: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Buffalo: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS

New England most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 7-3

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New England’s last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Buffalo’s last 24 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
New England at Oakland, Sunday, October 2
Buffalo at Cincinnati, Sunday, October 2

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