free pick Montreal Canadiens vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2-10

May 2, 2010

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The Montreal Canadiens and the Pittsburgh Penguins will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Mellon Arena.

Oddsmakers currently have the Penguins listed as 300-moneyline favorites versus the Canadiens, while the game’s total is sitting at 5½.

The Penguins scored four times on the power play as they defeated the Canadiens 6-3 in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinal series on Friday. Pittsburgh won the game as -270 favorites, and the nine goals sailed OVER the posted over/under (5.5) set by oddsmakers.

Sergei Gonchar, Jordan Staal, Kris Letang, Craig Adams, Alex Goligoski, and Bill Guerin answered for the Penguins. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 28 shots in the win.

P.K. Subban, Michael Cammalleri, and Brian Gionta scored for the Canadiens, who were +240 underdogs.

Team records:
Montreal: 39-33-10
Pittsburgh: 47-28-7

Montreal most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Pittsburgh are 4-6
After playing Pittsburgh are 3-7
After a loss are 4-6

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Ottawa are 7-3
After playing Montreal are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
Pittsburgh at Montreal, Tuesday, May 4

FREE PICK  : Pittsburgh  -280


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